Conf = NESCAC
Nickname = ME Polar Bear Coach = Bill MasonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.4660492 home-field advantage = -0.63 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 302 H Trinity NESCAC ( 9- 7, 93.8) 13- 6 306 H Western New England CCC (11- 6, 92.8) 19- 9 309 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 7, 97.1) 16-10 313 A Endicott CCC (15- 1, 95.3) 14-17 316 A Connecticut College NESCAC ( 5- 9, 91.4) 19-11 319 A MIT NEWMAC ( 6-10, 91.2) 22-14 326 A Babson NEWMAC (14- 3, 96.6) 6-13 330 A Hamilton NESCAC ( 9- 6, 95.3) 15- 8 402 A Bates NESCAC ( 3-11, 90.7) 16-14 410 H Colby NESCAC ( 6- 8, 92.4) 25- 5 413 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.7) 14- 6 415 H Amherst NESCAC (10- 6, 97.1) 19- 8 420 A Wesleyan NESCAC (13- 3, 97.9) 12-16 424 A Tufts NESCAC (13- 3, 99.7) 13-16 427 H Williams NESCAC ( 9- 7, 95.7) 14- 4 504 H Middlebury NESCAC ( 9- 7, 97.1)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 302 H Trinity 13- 6 7 5 1.74 306 H Western New England 19- 9 10 6 0.68 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 2 + 3.96 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.51 316 A Connecticut College 19-11 8 6 0.53 319 A MIT 22-14 8 6 0.32 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.29 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.42 402 A Bates 16-14 2 7 -- -5.00 410 H Colby 25- 5 20 6 0.31 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 3 + 3.56 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 2 ++ 4.97 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 - -3.90 424 A Tufts 13-16 -3 -1 -1.11 427 H Williams 14- 4 10 3 + 3.56UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Babson 6-13 -7 1 --- -8.29 313 A Endicott 14-17 -3 2 -- -5.51 402 A Bates 16-14 2 7 -- -5.00 420 A Wesleyan 12-16 -4 0 - -3.90OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 A Hamilton 15- 8 7 2 ++ 4.42 415 H Amherst 19- 8 11 2 ++ 4.97 309 H Middlebury 16-10 6 2 + 3.96 413 H Williams 14- 6 8 3 + 3.56 427 H Williams 14- 4 10 3 + 3.56
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.47 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 87.71 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 6 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6834 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 24 RPI Rating............... .6404 RPI Rank................... 14 Champ. Probability ...... 5.0 Championship Rank ......... 7 Selection sum ........... 66 Selection Rank ............ 14 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 50. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 13 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 28 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.5 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 11.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0